It has become fashionable to report a candidate's "chance of winning." (ESPN does this, too. The only way to know if ESPN's prediction that Seattle had a 94% chance of advancing to the semi-finals is accurate is to have Seattle and its opponent play the match 100 (or more) times. Yes, the Sounders advanced, so the prediction was technically correct, but a sample size of one cannot test the model. As of the writing of this article, Nate Silver gives Hillary Clinton an absurdly precise 70.3% chance of winning.Last week, the network predicted that the Seattle Sounders had a 94% chance to advance to the semi-finals of the MLS Cup. If Seattle advances 94 or so times, then the model has been demonstrated to be reasonably accurate. (No, not 70.2% or 70.4%, but exactly 70.3%.) If she does indeed win on Election Day, that does not prove the model is correct.

Five Thirty Eight's Nate Silver published a presidential-election forecast on Tuesday night that illustrated how the country would be likely to vote if only men were to cast ballots.

[Six good reasons why Ravens picked up Devin Hester this week] [If college head coaches had to play QB, who would you want leading your team? Like I said, politics is the real focus of Nate Silver’s best work.

] [Thumbs up for Hard Rock Stadium, a name as rowdy as a stadium should be] Not to worry. If you’re wondering where the Five Thirty Eight name originates, 538 is the total number of electoral college votes in a U.

Resident playwright, Scott Woldman, wrote a Luv Cycle starting with the moment a couple meet, and followed them all the way through their courtship, engagement, break-up, make-up, marriage, family, divorce, dating, and remarriage.

There have been loads of love stories and reams of romantic comedies BUT there has never been anything quite like Scotts Luv Cycle is thrilled to have joined Redtwist Theatre as Resident Playwright where he will be helping to create Redtwist Theatres exciting new Dark Red (late night) series.